Description

This analysis provides a forecast of THETA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 1.577346 1.801972 2.047328 2.335252 2.663946 3.027579 3.460541
2025-01-05 1.193155 1.488024 1.839162 2.288295 2.847928 3.522895 4.399877
2025-01-12 0.976140 1.292760 1.692778 2.235591 2.953840 3.873055 5.141344
2025-01-19 0.817421 1.137192 1.561261 2.165309 3.004999 4.133276 5.768853
2025-01-26 0.765022 1.110926 1.589437 2.300474 3.332343 4.779044 6.968688
2025-02-02 0.722510 1.090280 1.618653 2.434127 3.664115 5.455609 8.274245
2025-02-09 0.677255 1.058464 1.625384 2.531199 3.946488 6.080994 9.560508
2025-02-16 0.625017 1.009011 1.598601 2.571326 4.141585 6.587480 10.707742
2025-02-23 0.561418 0.934156 1.523756 2.526037 4.194054 6.871677 11.522868
2025-03-02 0.511956 0.876494 1.469545 2.506565 4.282751 7.216288 12.461954
2025-03-09 0.474479 0.834610 1.436310 2.517042 4.419352 7.647238 13.580558
2025-03-16 0.441427 0.796757 1.405707 2.527792 4.555030 8.084739 14.745869
2025-03-23 0.412124 0.763403 1.380976 2.548601 4.714143 8.583752 16.082411
2025-03-30 0.374886 0.712101 1.319806 2.497805 4.738873 8.845545 17.011027
2025-04-06 0.340947 0.663442 1.258590 2.440220 4.743780 9.068279 17.882157
2025-04-13 0.308245 0.613887 1.190971 2.363467 4.703607 9.200275 18.586028
2025-04-20 0.306061 0.623594 1.236743 2.511082 5.113986 10.231423 21.166269
2025-04-27 0.303294 0.631753 1.279946 2.657050 5.533612 11.316031 23.955997
2025-05-04 0.295997 0.629870 1.302760 2.763069 5.880357 12.282861 26.590088
2025-05-11 0.282778 0.614309 1.296220 2.806895 6.100167 13.006393 28.772197
2025-05-18 0.261789 0.580182 1.248075 2.757431 6.115323 13.300191 30.044187
2025-05-25 0.245147 0.553991 1.214411 2.736164 6.189453 13.725123 31.644551
2025-06-01 0.232629 0.535802 1.196362 2.747608 6.336701 14.320617 33.684123